Pool play is done. Seeds are set by wins → total points scored. Title odds from a
50,000-run Monte-Carlo of the single-elim bracket on the same engine that makes the game lines.
Quarterfinals
East
1dan.k.memesvsxpoes4
2mingle/Yunyivssumin3
West
1James Wvs(Stitch)^24
2cryovsczz3
Higher seed hosts. Winners meet in the conference final; the two conference champions
play the Grand Final for the $1,000.
Championship Odds
Seed
Team
Reach SF
Win Conf
Title
1
James W
56%
29%
15.9%
2
mingle/Yunyi
52%
28%
13.9%
2
cryo
51%
26%
13.5%
3
czz
49%
24%
12.1%
4
xpoes
50%
25%
11.7%
1
dan.k.memes
50%
24%
11.5%
3
sumin
48%
24%
11.3%
4
(Stitch)^2
44%
21%
10.1%
🎲 Why so flat? Even the favorite (James W) sits at just 16%,
and the field is bunched from ~10% to ~16%. Pre-game
ratings explain only ~6% of margin variance in science bowl, so every game is close to a coin flip and a
four-round bracket compounds that into near-parity. The smart read is field over chalk. Full breakdown
in the season report.