NSBA Β· Science Bowl 2026 / S04

Season 4The Hub

Every weekly recap, the full analytics deep-dive, the playoff bracket, and the season's leaderboards β€” all in one place. Pick a week, pick a sport, or dive into the data.

01

Start Here

S.01πŸ“Š
The Season in Data
Ten chapters of science-bowl theory from the numbers β€” parity, the neg tax, volume vs efficiency, subject tempos, the draft signal, and a 50,000-run championship simulation.
Open deep-dive β†’
S.02πŸ†
Playoff Bracket & Odds
Final seeds, the quarterfinal-to-final bracket, and each team's championship probability from a 50k-run Monte-Carlo.
Open bracket β†’
S.03πŸ”¬
The Question Lab
Buzz speed, subject difficulty, week-over-week trends, snipers vs gunslingers, and the season's records β€” every buzz, dissected.
Open the lab β†’
S.04πŸ“
How We Modeled It
The full write-up β€” IRT ability, baseball-style projection, the draft-value curve, the game engine, LMSR market pricing, and the peak-vs-mean experiment. Heavy on the math.
Read the write-up β†’
02

Weekly Recaps

Wk 1Opening Night Wk 2Order Restored Wk 3Contenders Crack Wk 4Blowout Week Wk 5Model Cooked Wk 6Bracket Locks Wk 7Bracket Is SetFinale
🎭 Every recap, five ways. Each week is rewritten in the language of a different sport β€” same games, same names, your pick of vocabulary. (Open a week, then use its "Read as:" bar.)
πŸ“š Science BowlπŸ€ NBA 🏈 NFL⚽ Soccer ⚾ Baseballβ™Ÿ Chess Β· Wk 1 πŸ“‰ Quant Β· early wks
03

Leaderboards & Tools

πŸ‘‘ Category Kings
best buzzer / subject
πŸ—ΊοΈ Team Coverage
who owns which subjects
πŸ’Ž Draft Value
combine vs production
🎯 Prop Report · Wk5
players vs their line
04

Player Ratings β€” by Week

⭐ W1 ⭐ W2 ⭐ W3 ⭐ W4 ⭐ W5 ⭐ W6 ⭐ W7